Round of 64East RegionBon Secours Wellness Arena, Greenville, SC
Duke

28-2 · Atlantic Coast Conference

#1 seedT-Rank #2
VS
Siena

20-11 · Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

#16 seedT-Rank #321

Win Probability (Log5)

99%

Duke

1%

Siena

Predicted Score

83–56

Spread: Duke -27.5

Historical Upset Rate

1%

16-seeds beat 1-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

DukeSTATSiena
28-2Record20-11
83.2PPG70.8
62.5Opp PPG66.5
+20.6Pt Diff+4.4
W7StreakW1
#2T-Rank#321
118.7Adj Offense96.7
89.9Adj Defense109.5
68.2Tempo66.2
0.4WAB-2.6
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Duke

CORNER 354.7%41/75CORNER 339.7%31/78WING 333.3%21/63WING 332.3%20/62TOP 320.0%2/10MID-RANGE32.9%51/155MID-RANGE34.8%47/135MID-RANGE30.3%40/132MID-RANGE37.4%49/131PAINT71.7%710/99061.7%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Siena

CORNER 348.1%13/27CORNER 314.3%6/42WING 326.7%16/60WING 336.8%21/57TOP 340.0%2/5MID-RANGE37.6%82/218MID-RANGE39.9%83/208MID-RANGE25.0%22/88MID-RANGE24.4%21/86PAINT70.0%699/99953.9%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Duke

W7
WWWWW
Last 5: 5-0
PPG: 87.8
Opp PPG: 59.6
Margin: +28.2

Siena

W1
WLWLW
Last 5: 3-2
PPG: 69.0
Opp PPG: 67.6
Margin: +1.4

Tempo & Style Matchup

Duke

BalancedAverage tempo
Adj Offense118.7 (#7)
Adj Defense89.9 (#2)
Adj Tempo68.2

Siena

Defense-firstAverage tempo
Adj Offense96.7 (#333)
Adj Defense109.5 (#275)
Adj Tempo66.2

Tempo Matchup

Duke wants to play faster (2.0 possessions/game difference).

Duke Off (#7)Siena Def (#275)
Siena Off (#333)Duke Def (#2)
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