Bracket, title paths, and upset picks built for March.
Start with the bracket, not a generic rankings table. Track the First Four, identify volatile regions, compare title contenders, and jump from every game to team-level matchup context.
Tournament games
67
4 play-in games included
Title favorite
Houston
19.1% to cut nets
Upset alerts
5
Seed lines with real efficiency danger
Coverage footprint
366
33 conferences across Division I
First Four
Dayton opens the bracket
11Texas
T-Rank #1811NC State
T-Rank #56Winner advances into the West Region main draw.
16UMBC
T-Rank #25216Howard
T-Rank #243Winner advances into the Midwest Region main draw.
11Miami (Ohio)
T-Rank #21211SMU
T-Rank #59Winner advances into the Midwest Region main draw.
16Prairie View A&M
T-Rank #35616Lehigh
T-Rank #280Winner advances into the South Region main draw.
Upset Watch
Seed lines under pressure
7 Miami (Florida) vs 10 Missouri
WestFavorite: Missouri
Win edge: 51%
T-Rank gap: 5
8 Villanova vs 9 Utah State
WestFavorite: Utah State
Win edge: 52%
T-Rank gap: 6
5 Vanderbilt vs 12 McNeese State
SouthFavorite: Vanderbilt
Win edge: 52%
T-Rank gap: 7
7 Saint Mary's College of California vs 10 Texas A&M University, College Station
SouthFavorite: Texas A&M University, College Station
Win edge: 56%
T-Rank gap: 12
6 North Carolina vs 11 Virginia Commonwealth
SouthFavorite: North Carolina
Win edge: 58%
T-Rank gap: 17
Region Pressure
Which side of the bracket is hardest to survive?
Average T-Rank gives a quick read on depth. Lower numbers mean fewer soft landing spots for favorites and a tougher road to the Final Four.
68
Average T-Rank across all 16 teams
82
Average T-Rank across all 16 teams
88
Average T-Rank across all 16 teams
101
Average T-Rank across all 16 teams
Baseline Power
Top teams entering March
| Rank | Team | Adj O | Adj D | Adj T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston | 118.6 | 89.1 | 64.3 |
| 2 | Duke | 118.7 | 89.9 | 68.2 |
| 3 | Tennessee | 117.8 | 89.9 | 66.7 |
| 4 | Auburn | 123.5 | 94.3 | 69.2 |
| 5 | Gonzaga | 122.8 | 95.3 | 70.4 |
| 6 | Kansas | 120.0 | 94.2 | 70.4 |
| 7 | Iowa State | 118.3 | 93.3 | 69.7 |
| 8 | Alabama | 121.9 | 96.7 | 73.6 |
| 9 | Kentucky | 118.1 | 95.0 | 73.0 |
| 10 | Illinois Urbana-Champaign | 115.7 | 94.0 | 71.8 |
| 11 | St. John's University (New York) | 115.9 | 94.6 | 69.5 |
| 12 | Purdue | 117.9 | 96.3 | 65.8 |