NCAA Tournament Bracket
2025-26 NCAA Men's Basketball Championship · Win probabilities via Log5 model
East Region
Final Four
Championship
Indianapolis · April 6
Final Four
South Region
Rd 64
Rd 32
S16
Elite 8
East Region
South Region
Rd 64
Rd 32
S16
Elite 8
West Region
Midwest Region
Final Four & Championship
Final Four
Final Four
Championship
First Four — Dayton, OH
Bracket Analytics
! Upset Watch
Games where the lower seed ranks higher in T-Rank efficiency or the matchup is closer than the seed line suggests.
Biggest Mismatches
R64 games with the largest T-Rank gap between teams.
Region Power Rankings
Regions ranked by average T-Rank of all teams. Lower is tougher.
South
Avg T-Rank: 72 · 1-seed: Florida
Midwest
Avg T-Rank: 82 · 1-seed: Michigan
East
Avg T-Rank: 98 · 1-seed: Duke
West
Avg T-Rank: 106 · 1-seed: Arizona
Toughest Paths to Sweet 16
1-seeds ranked by the combined T-Rank strength of opponents they could face in R64 + R32.
Avg opp T-Rank: 41 · Clemson (#37), Iowa (#45)
Avg opp T-Rank: 79 · Georgia (#44), Saint Louis (#114)
Avg opp T-Rank: 148 · LIU (#323), Villanova (#63), Utah State (#57)
Avg opp T-Rank: 191 · Siena (#321), TCU (#61)