Round of 64East RegionKeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
Louisville

22-9 · Atlantic Coast Conference

#6 seedT-Rank #43
VS
South Florida

22-8 · American Conference

#11 seedT-Rank #131

Win Probability (Log5)

80%

Louisville

20%

South Florida

Predicted Score

79–70

Spread: Louisville -8.9

Historical Upset Rate

37%

11-seeds beat 6-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

LouisvilleSTATSouth Florida
22-9Record22-8
85.9PPG88.5
72.5Opp PPG77.1
+13.4Pt Diff+11.4
W2StreakW8
#43T-Rank#131
113.6Adj Offense106.7
98.3Adj Defense104.1
71.5Tempo69.5
0.8WAB-1.6
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Louisville

CORNER 334.8%16/46CORNER 339.2%31/79WING 347.2%51/108WING 328.5%43/151TOP 335.7%15/42MID-RANGE39.2%67/171MID-RANGE31.4%38/121MID-RANGE32.9%55/167MID-RANGE38.6%64/166PAINT75.5%661/87658.6%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

South Florida

CORNER 325.0%18/72CORNER 337.2%42/113WING 325.0%23/92WING 335.6%53/149TOP 315.8%3/19MID-RANGE35.7%50/140MID-RANGE35.7%46/129MID-RANGE34.7%33/95MID-RANGE28.1%34/121PAINT69.9%812/116251.9%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Louisville

W2
WLLWW
Last 5: 3-2
PPG: 81.0
Opp PPG: 75.6
Margin: +5.4

South Florida

W8
WWWWW
Last 5: 5-0
PPG: 86.2
Opp PPG: 70.8
Margin: +15.4

Tempo & Style Matchup

Louisville

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense113.6 (#41)
Adj Defense98.3 (#49)
Adj Tempo71.5

South Florida

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense106.7 (#139)
Adj Defense104.1 (#143)
Adj Tempo69.5

Tempo Matchup

Louisville wants to play faster (1.9 possessions/game difference).

Louisville Off (#41)South Florida Def (#143)
South Florida Off (#139)Louisville Def (#49)
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