Round of 64Midwest RegionKeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
Georgia

22-9 · Southeastern Conference

#8 seedT-Rank #44
VS
Saint Louis

27-3 · Atlantic 10 Conference

#9 seedT-Rank #114

Win Probability (Log5)

75%

Georgia

25%

Saint Louis

Predicted Score

80–73

Spread: Georgia -7.4

Historical Upset Rate

49%

9-seeds beat 8-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

GeorgiaSTATSaint Louis
22-9Record27-3
90.4PPG88.8
79.3Opp PPG68.6
+11.1Pt Diff+20.3
W3StreakW2
#44T-Rank#114
112.1Adj Offense111.9
97.0Adj Defense106.8
69.0Tempo71.3
0.9WAB-1.0
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Georgia

CORNER 331.1%28/90CORNER 334.2%38/111WING 336.8%35/95WING 341.8%51/122TOP 335.5%11/31MID-RANGE35.9%60/167MID-RANGE30.4%58/191MID-RANGE34.1%43/126MID-RANGE38.1%45/118PAINT71.7%852/118857.8%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Saint Louis

CORNER 334.4%21/61CORNER 353.1%34/64WING 348.2%40/83WING 337.6%41/109TOP 333.3%7/21MID-RANGE41.1%60/146MID-RANGE45.5%46/101MID-RANGE42.2%49/116MID-RANGE34.3%46/134PAINT71.2%774/108755.2%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Georgia

W3
WLWWW
Last 5: 4-1
PPG: 91.6
Opp PPG: 84.0
Margin: +7.6

Saint Louis

W2
LWLWW
Last 5: 3-2
PPG: 79.2
Opp PPG: 74.8
Margin: +4.4

Tempo & Style Matchup

Georgia

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense112.1 (#61)
Adj Defense97.0 (#33)
Adj Tempo69.0

Saint Louis

Offense-firstFast tempo
Adj Offense111.9 (#63)
Adj Defense106.8 (#206)
Adj Tempo71.3

Tempo Matchup

Saint Louis wants to play faster (2.3 possessions/game difference).

Georgia Off (#61)Saint Louis Def (#206)
Saint Louis Off (#63)Georgia Def (#33)
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