Round of 64South RegionBon Secours Wellness Arena, Greenville, SC
North Carolina
24-6 · Atlantic Coast Conference
#6 seedT-Rank #19
Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10 Conference
#11 seedT-Rank #36
Win Probability (Log5)
58%
North Carolina
42%
Virginia Commonwealth
Predicted Score
76–74
Spread: North Carolina -2.1
Historical Upset Rate
37%
11-seeds beat 6-seeds historically
Head-to-Head Comparison
| North Carolina | STAT | Virginia Commonwealth |
|---|---|---|
| 24-6 | Record | -- |
| 80.4 | PPG | -- |
| 70.9 | Opp PPG | -- |
| +9.6 | Pt Diff | -- |
| W4 | Streak | -- |
| #19 | T-Rank | #36 |
| 119.0 | Adj Offense | 111.7 |
| 98.7 | Adj Defense | 95.3 |
| 73.2 | Tempo | 68.5 |
| 0.1 | WAB | -0.3 |
| 0.000 | SOS | 0.000 |
Tempo & Style Matchup
North Carolina
Offense-firstFast tempo
Adj Offense119.0 (#6)
Adj Defense98.7 (#59)
Adj Tempo73.2
Virginia Commonwealth
BalancedAverage tempo
Adj Offense111.7 (#65)
Adj Defense95.3 (#15)
Adj Tempo68.5
Tempo Matchup
North Carolina wants to play faster (4.7 possessions/game difference).
North Carolina Off (#6)Virginia Commonwealth Def (#15)
Virginia Commonwealth Off (#65)North Carolina Def (#59)