Round of 64South RegionPaycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Houston

26-5 · Big 12 Conference

#2 seedT-Rank #1
VS
Idaho

17-14 · Big Sky Conference

#15 seedT-Rank #249

Win Probability (Log5)

98%

Houston

2%

Idaho

Predicted Score

83–58

Spread: Houston -24.5

Historical Upset Rate

6%

15-seeds beat 2-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

HoustonSTATIdaho
26-5Record17-14
77.6PPG79.0
62.7Opp PPG73.8
+14.9Pt Diff+5.2
W3StreakW1
#1T-Rank#249
118.6Adj Offense104.7
89.1Adj Defense111.8
64.3Tempo66.8
0.1WAB-3.5
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Houston

CORNER 342.1%24/57CORNER 345.1%32/71WING 338.2%47/123WING 332.0%49/153TOP 325.0%6/24MID-RANGE36.1%108/299MID-RANGE38.7%104/269MID-RANGE29.7%27/91MID-RANGE27.4%29/106PAINT71.0%616/86760.2%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Idaho

CORNER 340.6%26/64CORNER 346.5%33/71WING 342.7%44/103WING 336.1%39/108TOP 334.2%13/38MID-RANGE33.3%63/189MID-RANGE39.9%59/148MID-RANGE32.8%44/134MID-RANGE31.6%50/158PAINT67.4%560/83156.7%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Houston

W3
LLWWW
Last 5: 3-2
PPG: 76.6
Opp PPG: 68.6
Margin: +8.0

Idaho

W1
LWWLW
Last 5: 3-2
PPG: 76.6
Opp PPG: 74.4
Margin: +2.2

Tempo & Style Matchup

Houston

BalancedSlow tempo
Adj Offense118.6 (#8)
Adj Defense89.1 (#1)
Adj Tempo64.3

Idaho

Offense-firstAverage tempo
Adj Offense104.7 (#182)
Adj Defense111.8 (#332)
Adj Tempo66.8

Tempo Matchup

Idaho wants to play faster (2.5 possessions/game difference).

Houston Off (#8)Idaho Def (#332)
Idaho Off (#182)Houston Def (#1)
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