Round of 64Midwest RegionBenchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
Alabama

22-8 · Southeastern Conference

#4 seedT-Rank #8
VS
Hofstra

21-10 · Coastal Athletic Association

#13 seedT-Rank #157

Win Probability (Log5)

94%

Alabama

6%

Hofstra

Predicted Score

84–67

Spread: Alabama -17.6

Historical Upset Rate

21%

13-seeds beat 4-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

AlabamaSTATHofstra
22-8Record21-10
92.0PPG75.4
83.6Opp PPG66.2
+8.4Pt Diff+9.2
L1StreakW4
#8T-Rank#157
121.9Adj Offense103.9
96.7Adj Defense104.1
73.6Tempo65.9
2.4WAB0.1
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Alabama

CORNER 337.5%36/96CORNER 337.3%38/102WING 332.5%38/117WING 337.3%62/166TOP 331.3%10/32MID-RANGE41.9%85/203MID-RANGE34.2%50/146MID-RANGE38.2%55/144MID-RANGE33.8%47/139PAINT73.1%760/104055.4%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Hofstra

CORNER 337.9%22/58CORNER 338.2%26/68WING 336.2%38/105WING 338.8%54/139TOP 334.2%13/38MID-RANGE36.3%73/201MID-RANGE38.3%80/209MID-RANGE34.2%38/111MID-RANGE38.7%46/119PAINT68.9%624/90650.7%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Alabama

L1
WWWWL
Last 5: 4-1
PPG: 93.2
Opp PPG: 88.0
Margin: +5.2

Hofstra

W4
LWWWW
Last 5: 4-1
PPG: 71.2
Opp PPG: 58.0
Margin: +13.2

Tempo & Style Matchup

Alabama

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense121.9 (#3)
Adj Defense96.7 (#31)
Adj Tempo73.6

Hofstra

Defense-firstSlow tempo
Adj Offense103.9 (#192)
Adj Defense104.1 (#141)
Adj Tempo65.9

Tempo Matchup

Alabama wants to play faster (7.7 possessions/game difference). This is a significant tempo clash.

Alabama Off (#3)Hofstra Def (#141)
Hofstra Off (#192)Alabama Def (#31)
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