Round of 64Midwest RegionEnterprise Center, St. Louis, MO
Iowa State

25-6 · Big 12 Conference

#2 seedT-Rank #7
VS
Tennessee State

22-9 · Ohio Valley Conference

#15 seedT-Rank #297

Win Probability (Log5)

98%

Iowa State

2%

Tennessee State

Predicted Score

88–63

Spread: Iowa State -24.9

Historical Upset Rate

6%

15-seeds beat 2-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

Iowa StateSTATTennessee State
25-6Record22-9
81.8PPG80.1
65.7Opp PPG73.5
+16.0Pt Diff+6.6
W1StreakW5
#7T-Rank#297
118.3Adj Offense99.8
93.3Adj Defense110.1
69.7Tempo71.6
0.7WAB-3.8
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Iowa State

CORNER 332.6%15/46CORNER 329.4%15/51WING 348.0%36/75WING 345.7%48/105TOP 325.0%5/20MID-RANGE32.7%72/220MID-RANGE45.9%89/194MID-RANGE41.0%41/100MID-RANGE30.6%38/124PAINT68.3%714/104651.8%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Tennessee State

CORNER 339.5%15/38CORNER 327.3%12/44WING 328.2%22/78WING 329.6%29/98TOP 342.9%6/14MID-RANGE35.0%78/223MID-RANGE37.1%95/256MID-RANGE41.0%32/78MID-RANGE23.9%17/71PAINT68.5%753/110056.8%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Iowa State

W1
LWLLW
Last 5: 2-3
PPG: 72.0
Opp PPG: 71.6
Margin: +0.4

Tennessee State

W5
WWWWW
Last 5: 5-0
PPG: 76.6
Opp PPG: 60.2
Margin: +16.4

Tempo & Style Matchup

Iowa State

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense118.3 (#10)
Adj Defense93.3 (#6)
Adj Tempo69.7

Tennessee State

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense99.8 (#279)
Adj Defense110.1 (#292)
Adj Tempo71.6

Tempo Matchup

Tennessee State wants to play faster (1.8 possessions/game difference).

Iowa State Off (#10)Tennessee State Def (#292)
Tennessee State Off (#279)Iowa State Def (#6)
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