Round of 64Midwest RegionEnterprise Center, St. Louis, MO
Kentucky

19-11 · Southeastern Conference

#7 seedT-Rank #9
VS
Santa Clara

24-7 · West Coast Conference

#10 seedT-Rank #87

Win Probability (Log5)

82%

Kentucky

18%

Santa Clara

Predicted Score

81–71

Spread: Kentucky -9.9

Historical Upset Rate

39%

10-seeds beat 7-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

KentuckySTATSanta Clara
19-11Record24-7
81.4PPG83.8
73.4Opp PPG72.4
+8.0Pt Diff+11.4
L1StreakW1
#9T-Rank#87
118.1Adj Offense109.9
95.0Adj Defense100.9
73.0Tempo69.1
1.3WAB-1.8
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Kentucky

CORNER 342.2%27/64CORNER 336.2%17/47WING 331.6%30/95WING 338.1%37/97TOP 336.4%8/22MID-RANGE34.4%73/212MID-RANGE36.1%56/155MID-RANGE23.6%26/110MID-RANGE37.1%43/116PAINT68.1%710/104259.0%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Santa Clara

CORNER 327.7%18/65CORNER 332.3%21/65WING 342.9%36/84WING 339.4%39/99TOP 347.4%9/19MID-RANGE38.1%77/202MID-RANGE41.0%71/173MID-RANGE31.5%45/143MID-RANGE33.1%59/178PAINT72.5%610/84153.8%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Kentucky

L1
LLWWL
Last 5: 2-3
PPG: 80.0
Opp PPG: 79.4
Margin: +0.6

Santa Clara

W1
WLWLW
Last 5: 3-2
PPG: 84.8
Opp PPG: 79.4
Margin: +5.4

Tempo & Style Matchup

Kentucky

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense118.1 (#12)
Adj Defense95.0 (#13)
Adj Tempo73.0

Santa Clara

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense109.9 (#89)
Adj Defense100.9 (#90)
Adj Tempo69.1

Tempo Matchup

Kentucky wants to play faster (3.9 possessions/game difference).

Kentucky Off (#12)Santa Clara Def (#90)
Santa Clara Off (#89)Kentucky Def (#13)
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