Round of 64Midwest RegionXfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Virginia

27-4 · Atlantic Coast Conference

#3 seedT-Rank #89
VS
Wright State

21-11 · Horizon League

#14 seedT-Rank #155

Win Probability (Log5)

73%

Virginia

27%

Wright State

Predicted Score

73–67

Spread: Virginia -6

Historical Upset Rate

15%

14-seeds beat 3-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

VirginiaSTATWright State
27-4Record21-11
80.9PPG80.5
68.3Opp PPG73.3
+12.6Pt Diff+7.3
W2StreakW3
#89T-Rank#155
107.1Adj Offense108.6
98.3Adj Defense108.7
62.5Tempo69.0
-0.0WAB-2.0
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Virginia

CORNER 332.9%23/70CORNER 333.3%24/72WING 332.5%27/83WING 333.6%41/122TOP 334.6%9/26MID-RANGE35.8%62/173MID-RANGE39.6%61/154MID-RANGE37.3%44/118MID-RANGE34.8%56/161PAINT67.7%691/102155.2%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Wright State

CORNER 338.1%16/42CORNER 334.3%12/35WING 333.9%20/59WING 329.7%30/101TOP 333.3%4/12MID-RANGE40.7%55/135MID-RANGE33.3%57/171MID-RANGE35.5%39/110MID-RANGE43.0%52/121PAINT70.6%800/113352.7%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Virginia

W2
WWLWW
Last 5: 4-1
PPG: 75.6
Opp PPG: 72.6
Margin: +3.0

Wright State

W3
WLWWW
Last 5: 4-1
PPG: 81.8
Opp PPG: 75.2
Margin: +6.6

Tempo & Style Matchup

Virginia

Defense-firstSlow tempo
Adj Offense107.1 (#134)
Adj Defense98.3 (#50)
Adj Tempo62.5

Wright State

Offense-firstFast tempo
Adj Offense108.6 (#107)
Adj Defense108.7 (#256)
Adj Tempo69.0

Tempo Matchup

Wright State wants to play faster (6.5 possessions/game difference). This is a significant tempo clash.

Virginia Off (#134)Wright State Def (#256)
Wright State Off (#107)Virginia Def (#50)
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