Round of 64West RegionViejas Arena, San Diego, CA
Villanova

24-7 · BIG EAST Conference

#8 seedT-Rank #63
VS
Utah State

24-6 · Mountain West Conference

#9 seedT-Rank #57

Win Probability (Log5)

48%

Villanova

52%

Utah State

Predicted Score

74–74

Spread: Villanova +0.3

Historical Upset Rate

49%

9-seeds beat 8-seeds historically

Head-to-Head Comparison

VillanovaSTATUtah State
24-7Record24-6
77.6PPG82.7
70.5Opp PPG70.5
+7.0Pt Diff+12.2
W2StreakL1
#63T-Rank#57
114.3Adj Offense112.8
101.3Adj Defense99.4
66.0Tempo70.6
-2.3WAB0.9
0.000SOS0.000

Shot Charts

Villanova

CORNER 341.3%19/46CORNER 354.2%26/48WING 326.5%41/155WING 334.2%67/196TOP 327.5%11/40MID-RANGE31.4%48/153MID-RANGE41.0%57/139MID-RANGE37.9%44/116MID-RANGE27.8%30/108PAINT66.8%627/93857.4%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Utah State

CORNER 346.5%33/71CORNER 336.2%25/69WING 334.2%25/73WING 335.2%25/71TOP 338.5%10/26MID-RANGE39.8%70/176MID-RANGE38.8%66/170MID-RANGE35.9%33/92MID-RANGE27.6%32/116PAINT69.4%627/90360.4%Below AvgFG% vs. League AvgAbove Avg

Recent Form

Villanova

W2
LWLWW
Last 5: 3-2
PPG: 73.8
Opp PPG: 74.0
Margin: -0.2

Utah State

L1
WLLWL
Last 5: 2-3
PPG: 72.6
Opp PPG: 77.2
Margin: -4.6

Tempo & Style Matchup

Villanova

Offense-firstAverage tempo
Adj Offense114.3 (#40)
Adj Defense101.3 (#96)
Adj Tempo66.0

Utah State

BalancedFast tempo
Adj Offense112.8 (#53)
Adj Defense99.4 (#70)
Adj Tempo70.6

Tempo Matchup

Utah State wants to play faster (4.6 possessions/game difference).

Villanova Off (#40)Utah State Def (#70)
Utah State Off (#53)Villanova Def (#96)
← Back to full bracket